Saturday, 23 August 2014

A Double Dose for Polio


Recent research, conducted in India, has suggested that the Polio virus, endemic in three countries (Nigeria, Pakistan and Afghanistan), can be more efficiently eradicated by using a combination based on the widely used Oral vaccine supplemented with the injected form. The research therefore recommends the introduction of at least one dose of the injected vaccine in addition to the regular vaccination schedule.

The Research


This research was “carried out by researches from the WHO, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Imperial College London, the Enterovirus Research Centre in India and Panacea Biotech Ltd”. This is important to recognise as it represents an international collaboration and so this suggests that the research is credible. This is because all parties involved would have to produce consistent results and respect the end result. Hence by involvement of national organisations and the WHO this means that all researchers would have had to follow protocols to ensure comparative ability to produce reliable results. Thus this suggests that these protocols were checked and affirmed and analysed to produce valid results.  Furthermore, the trial was randomised and so this ensures that genetic variability, for example in natural slight immunity is evenly distributed over the two groups. This also prevents scientists from being influenced by bias to include only the strongest individuals in the trial for example. Adding to this, 954 children were involved and so due to this large sample, the range of results is more likely to be representative of the entire population thus ensuring that the data is useful. This is because it ensures that similar results can be expected if the vaccine was extended further. It also involved three distinct age groups: 6-11 months, children aged 5 and children aged 10. Through use of three groups it ensured that differences in the development of immunity could be accounted for. Hence, this meant that in the future, these results could be used most effectively to target a specific age group and therefore achieve maximum efficiency. The distinction between the groups was also important as it ensured that the control group could be matched more closely to the group receiving treatment to ensure that any response produced by one group was not magnified or diminished because of other factors associated with age. This meant that the results would be repeatable and hence reliable.

These children had already being vaccinated with the oral polio vaccine thus ensuring protection. However, the trial compared whether giving an additional dose of Salk IPV (the injected vaccine) would be more effective than an additional dose of the oral vaccine. Thus three groups were established: a group receiving the Salk IPV; a group receiving another dose of the oral vaccine to assess whether worthwhile gains in immunity were achieved by using the IPV over the oral vaccine; and a group receiving no additional vaccine to more easily quantify the efficacy of either vaccine (since without this third group the gain from the Salk IPV would only be relative to the oral vaccine and so the gains couldn’t be assessed i.e. if the Salk IPV addition meant that 5 more children remained immune after a period than in the oral vaccine then this may be small and not worthwhile yet if the oral vaccine meant that 1 more child remained immune as opposed to no vaccination, then the 5 child gain would be much more significant). After 4 weeks the children received a dose of the oral polio vaccine, containing dead or weakened forms of the virus. The amount of polio virus in their faeces was then monitored to quantify the immunity of the child. The lower the amount of poliovirus in the faeces, the greater the immunity and hence the lower the risk of transferring the virus.

Two types were studied, type 1 poliovirus and type 3 poliovirus. In the 6-11 month old group it was found that booster injections of the vaccine “significantly reduced the proportion of infants with type 3 poliovirus in their faeces compared to no vaccine, but did not significantly alter the proportion of infants with type 1 poliovirus in their faeces”.  In the 5 year old group a similar result was seen yet the immunity to type 1 poliovirus also increased with injections. Finally, in the 10 year old group a similar result was seen to the 5 year old group. However, with the 10 year olds, a booster of the oral vaccine had a similar effect. This was not the case in the younger groups. Hence this could suggest that immunity gradually decreases with time and so, because the 10 year old children responded in a similar way to the oral and injected vaccines, the increase in immunity may have simply been due to a lower general level of immunity anyway. In contrast the younger groups produced results which suggested an additional dose of injected vaccine was more effective than the oral dose. Thus, this infers that an additional layer of immunity was added due to immunity in a different area of the body. This is shown in the basic diagrams. Assuming 30 units is the maximum limit that can be achieved with an oral booster, in younger children that have recently being vaccinated both initial levels are at 30 (graph 1). An injection booster can therefore raise this further (graph 2). In a 10 year old where the immunity has decline to, for example, 10 units (graph 3), a booster using either method can have an effect as the oral vaccine is not limited (graph 4).
Graph 1
Graph 2
Graph 3
Graph 4

Cost vs. Effectiveness

This has been called a “historic” finding by the WHO yet although the injected method of vaccine may be useful, in the past it has been limited due to its higher cost and higher risk. For example, the benefit of the injected vaccine is that it increases the immunity within the bloodstream which is more useful as this supplies all areas with blood, hence immunising the blood massively restricts the capability of the virus to multiply and hence this increases general immunity. In contrast, the oral vaccine mainly immunises the digestive tract. This is essential yet is arguably not as important as immunising the blood as there is a greater risk that the virus could ‘bypass’ an immunised digestive system, yet with the blood, because it works everywhere and is a step beyond digestion, it is more encompassing of infection. However, the cost of needles, careful transportation methods to avoid damage to these needles, sterilisation costs and maintaining sterilisation through hygienic methods, is high. This means that in unstable countries that are economically unstable, reliance on other nations is not surprising, hence this means that the overall cost to more developed nations is higher. Alternatively, oral vaccines can be packages with plastic and sealed it can then be transported to health care centres in mass numbers without a fear of damage. Thus the cost is much lower. Furthermore, oral vaccines involve no contact with anything except for the vaccine. On the other hand, injected vaccines involve needles and so this can introduce infection which is a particularly significant issue in these underdeveloped countries where hygiene is not prioritised as much. Thus, the involvement of injected vaccines can place patients at risk of contracting other, more prevalent diseases.

Furthermore, in 1988, there were 350,000 cases of polio in more than 125 countries. This has fallen today by over 99% and is now only prevalent in three countries. Hence, mass development of prepared needles and new protocols on transportation and access may be considered ‘too much’ for such a limited disease. This is because, as the oral vaccine has dominated the battle against polio, injected vaccines have declined and hence the infrastructure to suddenly produce more injected based vaccines may involve high set-up costs. Thus if the relatively small scale of the disease may not justify this. Nevertheless, Professor Nicholas Grassly states “If you have limited access, you want the biggest return”. This may be the reason why Polio is still prevalent despite mass eradication schemes and international efforts: a lack of access to the most vulnerable areas followed by insufficient vaccine effectiveness when access is allowed. Therefore a more effective combination of the oral and injected vaccines might allow a more efficient eradication of the disease in limited access areas. Furthermore, it is unlikely that in the long-term these set-up costs will be significant. This is because, these immediate costs would be balanced by continuous savings on healthcare for victims of the polio virus. Adding to this, if injected vaccines hasten the decline of the disease, the overall amount of vaccine produced (oral and injected) will decline over time hence cutting the cost of producing the vaccine. Consequently, I don’t believe that the monetary argument is appropriate (to deny fragile countries access to medications, I believe, is ethically wrong) or significant.

Practical Problems

Therefore, the only other important consideration about whether this trial can be considered “historic” is whether it can practically be used. This is an issue as some countries use vaccination programmes as a political weapon. For example, in 2012, the Taliban banned the vaccine in the North and South Waziristan regions of Pakistan unless the US agreed to negotiate. This meant that the vaccine program risked opposing the government and hence causing an international conflict. Also access to countries to supply vaccines is limited. This is because, with a weak healthcare system, many vaccines are given to community doctors. Thus there can be no standards testing which means that vaccines may be viewed suspiciously by authorities.

Added to this are various misconceptions over vaccines which some attribute to religion. Admittedly, there are some fringe groups that do oppose vaccination however I don’t believe this can be considered valid for two main reasons. Firstly, these religious groups that are in opposition to vaccines can and are spread widely throughout the word. Thus, the fact that only three countries still suffer from Polio would infer (if we were to use the argument that religion can stop vaccination) that these countries have a greater proportion of these sceptical religions. This is not the case. This is clearly seen in religious statistics (50.4% of Nigeria’s citizens are Christian) yet can also be inferred when we consider that religious ideologies often diffuse from a point and the fact that Nigeria is so far away from Pakistan and Afghanistan weakens my confidence that they share a strong religious opposition to vaccines. Also, many established religions decide on modern issues by looking at various ethical arguments as well as religious arguments. As a result, I will consider two ethical schools of thought:

·         Consequentialism

    This would appear to support vaccination as vaccines minimise the pain of disease and hence maximise the duration of the pleasure of life. Furthermore, as more people are vaccinated, the risk to unvaccinated people decreases as they are less likely to come into contact with an infected person. This is called herd immunity and means that the extent of ‘pleasure’ created by vaccination is large. Alternatively, we cannot be certain that a vaccine would be of individual benefit (some may not come into contact with the disease anyway). Also the benefit of a vaccine may not show until much later, hence the pleasure is remote. Even so, I believe that the fact that vaccines minimise pain means that vaccines are acceptable on hedonic calculus (a measure of pleasure vs. pain).

·         Kant’s ethics and deontology

   Kant believed that if you choose to perform an action then you accept that it should become a universal maxim, i.e. if you kill someone you accept that everyone can kill whoever they want. Vaccines therefore may be accepted by Kant as by accepting vaccination it is perfectly acceptable to state that everyone should be able to have a vaccination. On the other hand, deontology argues that the intention of an action is more important than its consequence. Thus, if the US government continued to supply vaccines to Pakistan in 2012 to undermine the Taliban, this may be considered unacceptable as its intention is to cause harm however slight. Nevertheless, if we take this situation from another perspective then it could still be seen as acceptable. This is because if not vaccinating people makes them vulnerable and dependent on the state and unable to make rational and free decisions, then Kant may argue that not vaccinating causes people to become a ‘means to an end’ without free choices. Thus we have a duty to prevent this – a duty to vaccinate.

Consequently, it is unlikely that religions would be opposed to vaccines due to the benefit that they offer.

Another area of difficulty with introducing injection based vaccines is that it would need an outside authority to supply and administer the vaccine. In contrast, in order for Polio to be eradication, countries must be self-sufficient and willing to focus on the disease to eradicate it. Hence this would require a localised effort which would be much harder to achieve with an injected vaccine as opposed to an oral vaccine. This is perhaps the most limiting factor in implementing the research as due to the Ebola crisis, Nigeria’s healthcare system is debilitated and so this means that vaccination programs would be considered to be a far lower priority. This therefore encourages long-term dependency on other countries and would distract from a community based vaccination scheme that would allow a vaccine to be ‘rolled out’ and made accessible to everyone.

My Verdict

However, to conclude, I am optimistic that this research will lead to a more effective battle against Polio and will continue to cause the decline of the disease which has stabilised now in Nigeria at 70-80 infections every year since 2009. I am confident about this as, recently, TechNet-21 (the Technical Network for Strengthening Immunization Services) launched a resource to allow immunisation professionals to compare immunisation equipment. Also, the resource will enforce equipment that has passed through the “Performance, Quality, and Safety (PQS) programme” advocated by the WHO. Thus this demonstrates the growing coordination and research into immunisation projects and so will establish a greater focus on Polio which is already encouragingly close to eradication.
Sources
 



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